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> Ever had a dream just disintegrate before your very eyes?
mitchntx
post Oct 6 2008, 08:14 PM
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Since about 30, I've been saving, scrimping and hoarding pennies, working 2 jobs, 3 sometimes, all so that I could retire at 55.

Everything ... mortgage, debt, housing amenities, shop, tools ... everything was set up on this idea that I could retire with reasonable comfort and then work as I wanted, when I needed and do what I liked.

The last year has seen that dream slowly dwindle into the reality that I will have to work at this stinking job till I'm a hundred and 55. (IMG:http://www.frrax.com/rrforum/style_emoticons/default/unsure.gif)

My job is great ... been there since March of 1982. I really like what I do. Unfortunately it comes with it's share of migraine headaches, mostly with the title of Manager attached somewhere.

I was talking with a very good friend yesterday and he made some really good sense. Might as well pull all the money from market accounts and buy a new car. The drop in value couldn't be any worse.

Oh well, just thought I'd rant a while ... kind of feeling sorry for myself. So I want all of you to feel bad, too. (IMG:http://www.frrax.com/rrforum/style_emoticons/default/drink.gif)
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SStrokerAce
post Oct 13 2008, 08:13 PM
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Did today help??

Friday had all the signs of the bottom... only thing I can say is thank god I'm still not a broker, this would have been a tough few weeks of telling people that it will come back. Friday had a huge swing before close, in 9 hours of trading the DOW moved 17% up! When you sell at the bottom you never have a chance to get back in time for the swing back... this is exactly why even though it might look bad it's a short term deal. Even now with the S&P @ 1000, it's most likely going to be a good 2 year ride upwards. Go back and look at the S&P 500 from 1987 till 1990, same thing happened back then. Remember a year ago the S&P was at 1560! US stock sure look like the place to be for the next two years on a valuation standpoint...
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pknowles
post Oct 13 2008, 09:05 PM
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QUOTE (SStrokerAce @ Oct 13 2008, 04:13 PM) *
Did today help??

Friday had all the signs of the bottom... only thing I can say is thank god I'm still not a broker, this would have been a tough few weeks of telling people that it will come back. Friday had a huge swing before close, in 9 hours of trading the DOW moved 17% up! When you sell at the bottom you never have a chance to get back in time for the swing back... this is exactly why even though it might look bad it's a short term deal. Even now with the S&P @ 1000, it's most likely going to be a good 2 year ride upwards. Go back and look at the S&P 500 from 1987 till 1990, same thing happened back then. Remember a year ago the S&P was at 1560! US stock sure look like the place to be for the next two years on a valuation standpoint...

Wild swings in the market (up or down) are not good. The market had massive swings up and down in 1929 before finally crashing in October. We won't know we are out of the downturn for at least 2 quarters.
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SStrokerAce
post Oct 14 2008, 02:25 AM
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QUOTE (pknowles @ Oct 13 2008, 05:05 PM) *
QUOTE (SStrokerAce @ Oct 13 2008, 04:13 PM) *
Did today help??

Friday had all the signs of the bottom... only thing I can say is thank god I'm still not a broker, this would have been a tough few weeks of telling people that it will come back. Friday had a huge swing before close, in 9 hours of trading the DOW moved 17% up! When you sell at the bottom you never have a chance to get back in time for the swing back... this is exactly why even though it might look bad it's a short term deal. Even now with the S&P @ 1000, it's most likely going to be a good 2 year ride upwards. Go back and look at the S&P 500 from 1987 till 1990, same thing happened back then. Remember a year ago the S&P was at 1560! US stock sure look like the place to be for the next two years on a valuation standpoint...

Wild swings in the market (up or down) are not good. The market had massive swings up and down in 1929 before finally crashing in October. We won't know we are out of the downturn for at least 2 quarters.


Actually the wild swings are one of the technical indicators of a bottom. The problem is the whole market is more volitle than it was years ago... thank hedge funds, day traders & instant information for that.

Considering today was in the top 5 percentage gains of all time in the S&P, the largest gain on the DOW in terms of points and the largest percentage move in the market in 76 years it's saying something.

Then again I don't much about all this, just studied this in college for one of my minors, worked on Wall street (in the WTC) and held all the licencses for doing it for a living.... but over here everybody is a expert on everything.

Bret
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pknowles
post Oct 14 2008, 03:45 PM
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QUOTE (SStrokerAce @ Oct 13 2008, 10:25 PM) *
Actually the wild swings are one of the technical indicators of a bottom. The problem is the whole market is more volitle than it was years ago... thank hedge funds, day traders & instant information for that.

Considering today was in the top 5 percentage gains of all time in the S&P, the largest gain on the DOW in terms of points and the largest percentage move in the market in 76 years it's saying something.

Then again I don't much about all this, just studied this in college for one of my minors, worked on Wall street (in the WTC) and held all the licencses for doing it for a living.... but over here everybody is a expert on everything.

Bret

Most of the time big swings happen at the extremes either before a crash or before a significant gain. Defiantly historical examples of both. What really messes up indicators is government intervention artificially inflating the market for the time being.
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mitchntx
post Oct 14 2008, 04:04 PM
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QUOTE (pknowles @ Oct 14 2008, 10:45 AM) *
What really messes up indicators is government intervention artificially inflating the market for the time being.


<swig>
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Posts in this topic
mitchntx   Ever had a dream just disintegrate before your very eyes?   Oct 6 2008, 08:14 PM
FBody383   QUOTE (mitchntx)Oh well, just thought I'd rant...   Oct 6 2008, 08:46 PM
firehawkclone   I know how you feel on a smaller scale. Sat the mo...   Oct 6 2008, 09:35 PM
roadracetransam   QUOTE (firehawkclone @ Oct 6 2008, 02:35 ...   Oct 6 2008, 10:44 PM
rmackintosh   QUOTE (firehawkclone @ Oct 6 2008, 04:35 ...   Oct 7 2008, 12:55 AM
NJSPEEDER   My view of the situation is simple, unless you are...   Oct 6 2008, 09:41 PM
mitchntx   QUOTE (NJSPEEDER @ Oct 6 2008, 04:41 PM) ...   Oct 6 2008, 10:05 PM
trackbird   QUOTE (mitchntx @ Oct 6 2008, 06:05 PM) D...   Oct 7 2008, 12:32 AM
cccbock   QUOTE (trackbird @ Oct 6 2008, 08:32 PM) ...   Oct 7 2008, 01:02 AM
Eugenio_SS   QUOTE (trackbird @ Oct 6 2008, 08:32 PM) ...   Oct 14 2008, 12:40 PM
SStrokerAce   QUOTE (NJSPEEDER @ Oct 6 2008, 05:41 PM) ...   Oct 10 2008, 01:55 PM
mitchntx   QUOTE (SStrokerAce @ Oct 10 2008, 08:55 A...   Oct 12 2008, 11:22 PM
rmackintosh   Sorry to hear of your plight Mitch.....this year h...   Oct 7 2008, 12:58 AM
98_1LE   Hang in there Mitch! Your dream hasn't dis...   Oct 7 2008, 01:14 AM
nape   The ray of sunshine about the whole situation? At ...   Oct 7 2008, 04:08 AM
roadracetransam   I think we are all having a crappy year. As for ...   Oct 7 2008, 06:48 AM
pknowles   As someone who is just starting his career in Janu...   Oct 7 2008, 10:44 AM
NJSPEEDER   Mitch, if you wanted to retire at 55 you were look...   Oct 7 2008, 11:06 AM
CMC#5   When one door closes another one opens. Sorry Mitc...   Oct 7 2008, 12:31 PM
98_1LE   Social security will be around as long as there ar...   Oct 7 2008, 12:46 PM
AllZWay   QUOTE (98_1LE @ Oct 7 2008, 07:46 AM) Soc...   Oct 7 2008, 02:22 PM
sgarnett   The good and the bad: The world economy is in the...   Oct 7 2008, 02:16 PM
ledfoot2   I feel for you Mitch. Two years ago I was racing ...   Oct 7 2008, 02:40 PM
mitchntx   401K .... January 08 - $650K+ across fixed, U...   Oct 7 2008, 03:03 PM
Jeff94TA   QUOTE (mitchntx @ Oct 7 2008, 11:03 AM) 4...   Oct 7 2008, 03:35 PM
AllZWay   QUOTE (Jeff94TA @ Oct 7 2008, 10:35 AM) Q...   Oct 7 2008, 07:44 PM
sgarnett   Ouch. The amount of wealth that is simply evaporat...   Oct 7 2008, 03:26 PM
NJSPEEDER   The market is in a natural cycle, this time it is ...   Oct 7 2008, 05:44 PM
sgarnett   I think there's a bigger problem than that. Th...   Oct 7 2008, 06:13 PM
mitchntx   Any one read or watch Richard Fuld being grilled o...   Oct 7 2008, 06:32 PM
matt f   I know of people who were literally only months fr...   Oct 7 2008, 06:37 PM
sgarnett   Fixed income hasn't proven to be very safe eit...   Oct 7 2008, 07:00 PM
ledfoot2   I would use a coffee can burried in the back yard....   Oct 7 2008, 07:29 PM
pknowles   QUOTE (ledfoot2 @ Oct 7 2008, 03:29 PM) I...   Oct 7 2008, 07:45 PM
NJSPEEDER   QUOTE (mitchntx @ Oct 7 2008, 02:32 PM) A...   Oct 7 2008, 08:01 PM
Jeff97FST/A   Funny you mention the coffee can. We went to a par...   Oct 7 2008, 08:04 PM
matt f   Of course, you could be like a friend of the famil...   Oct 7 2008, 08:57 PM
CMC #37   QUOTE (matt f @ Oct 7 2008, 03:57 PM) Of ...   Oct 8 2008, 12:55 AM
jensend   QUOTE (matt f @ Oct 7 2008, 02:57 PM) Of ...   Oct 8 2008, 01:27 AM
sgarnett   Another day, another month's pay gone   Oct 7 2008, 09:36 PM
mitchntx   QUOTE (sgarnett @ Oct 7 2008, 04:36 PM) A...   Oct 7 2008, 10:39 PM
BigEnos   Yeah my 401K is down about 25% or so on the year, ...   Oct 8 2008, 01:29 AM
MikeP-99Z   Mitch: Wait for some good heavy rains, climb up o...   Oct 8 2008, 07:09 AM
johns68   Sorry, gotta dive into the rant ... both anecdotal...   Oct 8 2008, 07:30 AM
mitchntx   QUOTE (johns68 @ Oct 8 2008, 02:30 AM) to...   Oct 8 2008, 10:16 AM
mitchntx   OK .. so lets look at this a diferent way ... The...   Oct 8 2008, 12:57 PM
marka   Howdy, QUOTE (mitchntx @ Oct 8 2008, 08...   Oct 8 2008, 01:58 PM
mitchntx   QUOTE (marka @ Oct 8 2008, 08:58 AM) Taki...   Oct 8 2008, 08:05 PM
FBody383   QUOTE (mitchntx @ Oct 8 2008, 03:05 PM) Q...   Oct 8 2008, 08:48 PM
marka   Howdy, QUOTE (mitchntx @ Oct 8 2008, 04...   Oct 9 2008, 03:11 PM
pknowles   The Fed came out and lowered interest rates yester...   Oct 8 2008, 02:22 PM
sgarnett   Re the media, on any situation in which I've h...   Oct 8 2008, 03:34 PM
FBody383   QUOTE (mitchntx)Any one read or watch Richard Fuld...   Oct 8 2008, 08:43 PM
T.O.Dillinder   Mitch, Find happiness in the fact you have your h...   Oct 16 2008, 03:53 AM
98_1LE   Yes, a 401k loan simply takes the money out of the...   Oct 9 2008, 02:43 AM
FBody383   QUOTE (98_1LE)I believe the money I yanked from my...   Oct 9 2008, 02:32 PM
bsim   There is absolutely no reason to ponder the value ...   Oct 9 2008, 03:25 AM
mitchntx   QUOTE (bsim @ Oct 8 2008, 10:25 PM) There...   Oct 9 2008, 09:31 AM
bsim   Oops, sorry Mitch. I gets b!tched at at work ...   Oct 9 2008, 03:55 PM
bowtieboy   Anyone take a look at the market today . .......I...   Oct 9 2008, 10:03 PM
PeteL   Pete's rules for investing:If you need the mon...   Oct 10 2008, 01:04 AM
sgarnett   I really screwed up. Even though the 1999 Miata Sp...   Oct 9 2008, 11:51 PM
bsim   Brad's investing advice = Do the OPPOSITE of e...   Oct 10 2008, 01:13 AM
CMC #37   QUOTE (bsim @ Oct 9 2008, 08:13 PM) Brad...   Oct 10 2008, 01:30 AM
sgarnett   Oh, I am buying a little stock now, as I can, and ...   Oct 10 2008, 01:39 AM
Rob Hood   QUOTE (sgarnett @ Oct 9 2008, 06:39 PM) O...   Oct 10 2008, 03:19 AM
mitchntx   Gm stock was and $4.xx /share and Ford stock ...   Oct 10 2008, 06:54 AM
sgarnett   Well, right now the most of the Asian/Australian m...   Oct 13 2008, 01:19 AM
mitchntx   LOL ....   Oct 13 2008, 10:23 AM
v7guy   while I'm sure things will continue getting wo...   Oct 13 2008, 12:57 PM
sgarnett   I agree it's a good time to buy (well, maybe n...   Oct 13 2008, 03:10 PM
SStrokerAce   Did today help?? Friday had all the signs of the ...   Oct 13 2008, 08:13 PM
pknowles   QUOTE (SStrokerAce @ Oct 13 2008, 04:13 P...   Oct 13 2008, 09:05 PM
SStrokerAce   QUOTE (pknowles @ Oct 13 2008, 05:05 PM) ...   Oct 14 2008, 02:25 AM
sgarnett   QUOTE (SStrokerAce @ Oct 13 2008, 09:25 P...   Oct 14 2008, 03:37 AM
pknowles   QUOTE (SStrokerAce @ Oct 13 2008, 10:25 P...   Oct 14 2008, 03:45 PM
mitchntx   QUOTE (pknowles @ Oct 14 2008, 10:45 AM) ...   Oct 14 2008, 04:04 PM
sgarnett   QUOTE (pknowles @ Oct 14 2008, 10:45 AM) ...   Oct 15 2008, 12:50 AM
mitchntx   I need some Maalox ....   Oct 13 2008, 08:30 PM
mitchntx   <burp>   Oct 14 2008, 06:37 AM
AndyJ   Hey all! Yep, still around! . I t...   Oct 17 2008, 05:28 PM

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