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sgarnett
The Senate, UAW, et al, just gave up (ie failed) on reaching a compromise a few minutes ago.

I don't know how GM will come out after bankruptcy (they just hired the bankruptcy lawyer), but the stock market futures are looking ugly tonight. It actually held up well through some dismal recent employment numbers, but I suspect tomorrow is gonna be ugly. Rebuilding my retirement is going to mean austerity and no new cars for a very long time, and I suspect that will be true for many others. That can't be good for any automaker.

I'll admit I wasn't convinced that bridge loans to March could solve the problems for GM, so I don't claim to know what the right answer was. Nevertheless, this is going to be a big kick in the teeth for the economy.
mitchntx
ouch ...

goodbye recession ... hello depression.

This could last for years.
T.O.Dillinder
Did you hear that?..........
That is the economy going down the toilet.
My brother and his wife are going to lose everything.
My brother works for Lear Seating, and my sister-in-law was laid off from the GM Plant in Janesville 4 months ago.
They were depending on their Sub Pay to keep them afloat.
Time to start changing out the bills for ounces of gold and silver.
Obama better get rid of the free trade agreements and fast. Reinstate the High tariff, Buy American Reganomics.
It worked through RR second term, Bush Sr.'s term, and the first term of Slick Willy.
Then Willy had the great idea of free trade (NAFTA, and laying the ground work for China).
What was traded was jobs. No Jobs, No Money, No buy new car. When will the Politicians and Corporate Fat Cats get a clue.
I am glad I am in the medical sector now.
Sorry, I will get off my soap box now.
sgarnett
It just amazes me that "they" just don't seem to get it. I don't see how they can even consider adjourning tomorrow. Personally, I think they should all be locked in with plenty of coffee and with all the restrooms locked until some kind of agreement is reached.

OK, I'm not really amazed. I was just hoping they could somehow grasp the tremendous gravity of the situation and "man up".
TSHACK
QUOTE (sgarnett @ Dec 11 2008, 08:19 PM) *
It just amazes me that "they" just don't seem to get it. I don't see how they can even consider adjourning tomorrow. Personally, I think they should all be locked in with plenty of coffee and with all the restrooms locked until some kind of agreement is reached.

OK, I'm not really amazed. I was just hoping they could somehow grasp the tremendous gravity of the situation and "man up".



X's 2
sgarnett
OK, now the treasury is going to backstop backstop GM until congress reconvenes. I still think the coffee and locked restroom idea could work, especially if they have to hold out until ... January.
StanIROCZ
If your going to take the time to gripe about this please take the time to send a letter to the white house to tell Mr. Bush how important it is that the Big 3 get this bail out.

Here is the email address: comments@whitehouse.gov
C3SS
I agree it is important but would still like to see more concessions from the UAW. In the admittedly little reading I've done on this, that seems to be the hang-up.
BigEnos
QUOTE (StanIROCZ @ Dec 12 2008, 12:44 PM) *
If your going to take the time to gripe about this please take the time to send a letter to the white house to tell Mr. Bush how important it is that the Big 3 get this bail out.

Here is the email address: comments@whitehouse.gov


Personally I'd like to see it called what it is, which is not a "bailout", but a loan. To me, a bailout is free money with oversight strings. This is money with strings attached that they actually have to pay back. All the Wall St. firms are getting "bailouts" which afaik they don't have to repay but the gov't gets to keep their eye on them for a while.

What really needs to happen is that the companies need to have the ability to "right-size" themselves. They all have too many plants, employees, and factories and I blame the UAW. I know it'll hurt a lot of people, but not as many as will be hurt when these companies fail outright.
trackbird
QUOTE (C3SS @ Dec 12 2008, 01:47 PM) *
I agree it is important but would still like to see more concessions from the UAW. In the admittedly little reading I've done on this, that seems to be the hang-up.



I saw them say that they wanted the UAW to take a pay cut to put them in line with the non union import plants in the country. Many of which are located in areas with lower costs of living. Also, even if they are not, many families can't afford to take a 5-25% (I didn't see the exact number) pay cut. Of course going bankrupt and putting everyone out of work is an issue, but it doesn't do much good to keep your job and still lose the house and such due to not making enough money to continue paying your bills.

Don't take this to mean that I'm defending people overspending. But if you have a house and a couple kids (and income that's quite predictable since it's in the contract), your budget is probably pretty well stretched on the current salary. If you knew you were getting a pay cut, you might have kept a smaller car payment (or other bill) instead of buying whatever you may be driving currently. But if you're living (barely) within your means, a large paycut is almost as bad as losing your job. And it's not like you can just sell the house and buy something smaller right now, or sell/trade the car. The market sucks all the way around and you're probably going to be stuck with your current car/house/bills for a while.

And I've heard some mention of a few government officials who are wanting to "bust up" the unions. So, I guess it's a big sticking point.

Of course I'm just thinking out loud. Others may not agree.
C3SS
QUOTE (trackbird @ Dec 12 2008, 01:26 PM) *
But if you have a house and a couple kids (and income that's quite predictable since it's in the contract), your budget is probably pretty well stretched on the current salary. If you knew you were getting a pay cut, you might have kept a smaller car payment (or other bill) instead of buying whatever you may be driving currently. But if you're living (barely) within your means, a large paycut is almost as bad as losing your job. And it's not like you can just sell the house and buy something smaller right now, or sell/trade the car.


At this point it seems the choices are change the contract (what do they think bankruptcy is going to accomplish?) or lose it all, so I'd think that the former would be preferable. The status quo is what got them into this situation in the first place, and ignoring the problem will not fix it, especially when you are saddling your company with labor costs 30% higher than your competitors. Per the AP:

QUOTE
Hourly wages for United Auto Workers laborers at General Motors Corp. factories actually are almost equal to those paid by Toyota Motor Corp. at its older U.S. factories, according to the companies. GM says the average UAW laborer makes $29.78 per hour, while Toyota says it pays about $30 per hour.

The difference is in benefits, with the unionized factories having far higher costs.

GM says its total hourly labor costs are now $69 including wages, pensions and health care for active workers, plus the pension and health care costs of more than 432,000 retirees and spouses. Toyota says its total costs are around $48. The Japanese automaker has far fewer retirees and its pension and health care benefits are not as rich as those paid to UAW workers.

The UAW has not been able to organize workers at a Toyota plant in this country; it does represent workers at one joint GM-Toyota plant in Fremont, Calif.


http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/articl...aw_VYgD950S0A84
rmackintosh
QUOTE (mitchntx @ Dec 11 2008, 10:50 PM) *
ouch ...

goodbye recession ... hello depression.

This WILL last for years.



Fixed that for ya! nutkick.gif
trackbird
QUOTE (C3SS @ Dec 12 2008, 02:55 PM) *
QUOTE (trackbird @ Dec 12 2008, 01:26 PM) *
But if you have a house and a couple kids (and income that's quite predictable since it's in the contract), your budget is probably pretty well stretched on the current salary. If you knew you were getting a pay cut, you might have kept a smaller car payment (or other bill) instead of buying whatever you may be driving currently. But if you're living (barely) within your means, a large paycut is almost as bad as losing your job. And it's not like you can just sell the house and buy something smaller right now, or sell/trade the car.


At this point it seems the choices are change the contract (what do they think bankruptcy is going to accomplish?) or lose it all, so I'd think that the former would be preferable. The status quo is what got them into this situation in the first place, and ignoring the problem will not fix it, especially when you are saddling your company with labor costs 30% higher than your competitors. Per the AP:

QUOTE
Hourly wages for United Auto Workers laborers at General Motors Corp. factories actually are almost equal to those paid by Toyota Motor Corp. at its older U.S. factories, according to the companies. GM says the average UAW laborer makes $29.78 per hour, while Toyota says it pays about $30 per hour.

The difference is in benefits, with the unionized factories having far higher costs.

GM says its total hourly labor costs are now $69 including wages, pensions and health care for active workers, plus the pension and health care costs of more than 432,000 retirees and spouses. Toyota says its total costs are around $48. The Japanese automaker has far fewer retirees and its pension and health care benefits are not as rich as those paid to UAW workers.

The UAW has not been able to organize workers at a Toyota plant in this country; it does represent workers at one joint GM-Toyota plant in Fremont, Calif.


http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/articl...aw_VYgD950S0A84



I started to delete that post, but you beat me.

I'm seeing some cases of UAW guys taking home $150k. Ok, that's a bit extreme. But take someone in an "average" $30 an hour position and cut them to $22 or so, and they are going to lose the house in many cases. I wasn't looking at it from the perspective of 80 hour a week/$150k a year guys. Just an average 40 hour job and raising a family on it.

I really think the UAW assumes that GM will "pull it off" and they aren't going to go down until the very end. Once the ship really sinks, they'll probably agree to some changes for the last few weeks. But I don't think they are going to just roll over. It's ingrained in you that "the company is always lying", so I think that's the same issue here.

It's just a game of poker, though a very expensive one.


QUOTE (rmackintosh @ Dec 12 2008, 03:19 PM) *
QUOTE (mitchntx @ Dec 11 2008, 10:50 PM) *
ouch ...

goodbye recession ... hello depression.

This WILL last for years.



Fixed that for ya! nutkick.gif



Guess I need to go reduce the price on the Camaro...
FBody383
QUOTE (StanIROCZ @ Dec 12 2008, 11:44 AM) *
If your going to take the time to gripe about this please take the time to send a letter to the white house to tell Mr. Bush how important it is that the Big 3 get this bail out.

Here is the email address: comments@whitehouse.gov

I agree that you should contact your Congressmen and the President regarding your feelings on the issue.

I am unapologetically in the camp of bankruptcy as a workout of the existing issues.

Would you loan money to a company that appears to be mismanaged, has significant competition with arguably better engineering, product lines, cost structure, etc.?

What saved Chrysler when they got their loan was the K car and the minivan. I choose to believe that there is the second coming of Iacocca somewhere in the automotive/business world. I'm certain that person does not currently work for the U.S. government.


I feel for the retirees who put in a career and left the company with a mutual economic bargain.
pknowles
I'm surprised the GM investors aren't fed up and file Chapter 7. Between heavy government regulations and extortion like behavior by the UAW, I can't believe they didn't liquidate and run years ago.
ESPCamaro
A labor union would have saved my job. I had the 3rd highest seniority (sp) and got cut to save costs.
I have family in the Teamsters union (geesh).
I understand what/why the labor unions were created.

But with sensible workers rights regulations and a decent economy, I just don't see any use for the unions. The ones that are strong are hurting the companies in which they are in place. The weak ones only take the workers money and do nothing for them.....

Part of this money should be aimed at buying out union contracts and/or eliminating them.....


I'd take a non union job at a GM plant for less than what they make and with fewer benefits. Offer me a 401k keep the pension and call me a happy M/F. And you better beleive I wouldn't be the only one........


Another thing I hate to bring up since I've been labeled racist, biggot etc (if you know me you know that is idiotic but whatever).......In industrial jobs around me there are still tons of illegal immigrants. And tons of U.S citizen workers out of a job. Time to actually do something about this problem now too.
cccbock
QUOTE (FBody383 @ Dec 12 2008, 04:10 PM) *
QUOTE (StanIROCZ @ Dec 12 2008, 11:44 AM) *
If your going to take the time to gripe about this please take the time to send a letter to the white house to tell Mr. Bush how important it is that the Big 3 get this bail out.

Here is the email address: comments@whitehouse.gov

I agree that you should contact your Congressmen and the President regarding your feelings on the issue.

I am unapologetically in the camp of bankruptcy as a workout of the existing issues.

Would you loan money to a company that appears to be mismanaged, has significant competition with arguably better engineering, product lines, cost structure, etc.?

I feel for the retirees who put in a career and left the company with a mutual economic bargain.


This seems to be an excellent exchange with no sniping or flaming...which is great.

I pretty much ditto the above. I have worked for all types of companies (well run and not), and government as well. My grandfather ran a non-union tool and die shop in South Bend in the 60's and the Union came in and ran him out of business within 5 years. The workers didnt even get a chance to work for less pay, they just just lost their job completely.

We have to remember also that the car companies are trying to deal with totally unprecedented economic problems in addition to their other better known problems. I own a real estate appraisal company, and I don't care how you manage it.....if your revenue goes to 20% of what it was before (practically overnight), and you have employees to pay...and no credit....there is gonna be a real big problem real soon....even if the executives work for nothing.

To survive, the Amercian auto industry needs to be restructured period. Just like the airlines are having to do. The airlines have had to use bankruptcy, and im afraid the auto companies will as well. Anything the government does is a only stop gap.

That and 4 bucks will get you a cup of coffee. Cream extra.

Bock
nape
QUOTE (pknowles @ Dec 12 2008, 03:13 PM) *
I'm surprised the GM investors aren't fed up and file Chapter 7. Between heavy government regulations and extortion like behavior by the UAW, I can't believe they didn't liquidate and run years ago.


Remember this within the next 30 years when Toyota finally has a lot of workers who are old enough to start collecting a pension. Are you going to be telling them to do the same thing because... the vicious employees negotiated too much for retirement benefits? They just admitted that their labor costs about the same, the majority of the difference is the amount of people collecting.

QUOTE (ESPCamaro @ Dec 12 2008, 03:35 PM) *
A labor union would have saved my job. I had the 3rd highest seniority (sp) and got cut to save costs.
I have family in the Teamsters union (geesh).
I understand what/why the labor unions were created.

But with sensible workers rights regulations and a decent economy, I just don't see any use for the unions. The ones that are strong are hurting the companies in which they are in place. The weak ones only take the workers money and do nothing for them.....

Part of this money should be aimed at buying out union contracts and/or eliminating them.....

I'd take a non union job at a GM plant for less than what they make and with fewer benefits. Offer me a 401k keep the pension and call me a happy M/F. And you better beleive I wouldn't be the only one........

Another thing I hate to bring up since I've been labeled racist, biggot etc (if you know me you know that is idiotic but whatever).......In industrial jobs around me there are still tons of illegal immigrants. And tons of U.S citizen workers out of a job. Time to actually do something about this problem now too.


The use for unions is strength in numbers and this time it's working in reverse. Too many people drawing pensions is increasing the cost per vehicle too much, but that could happen to any manufacturer with an aging work force.

In tough times, it's interesting to see what people will do to undercut each other. Who cares if you'd take a job for less then what they make with fewer benefits? I'm sure a lot of people would, but you must've thought you had a better deal going before the economy went into the dumper or you'd already be working there.

We're seeing that in the trades as well. People who think they should be white collar but decided to try a trade because the job market sucks. I wish they'd keep their white collar, they come out, don't want to work hard, don't want to get dirty, don't want to go home sore. Be careful what you wish for.

Trackbird: You're exactly right about the money and that's why it pisses me off when people bring it up. So what if a UAW represented employee makes $150k/year? He had to work a shitload of hours to do it.

I'm an IBEW Electrician and a lot of people complain about how much we cost, that we're lazy, make too much money. Yeah, I know guys hitting the $150k/year mark this year, but they've been on the road 8-10 months this year working 6-7 days a week (58-96hrs/wk).

As far as non-union not necessarily being better, we saw a good example of it on the job I'm working at right now. We didn't get the bid to install 4 transformers, a non-union shop did. It takes us 5 guys for 3 days to dress out 1 transformer. The rat shop took 8 guys 10 days to dress out each transformer. But, they can make it happen because they pay their guys 1/4 to 1/2 of what we make. You figure out which one is right or better.
T.O.Dillinder
My brother is making $ 17.50 per hour ($ 36,400 gross per year)at Lear Seating
His wife was making $ 22.76 per hour ($ 47,340.80 gross per year) working on the assembly line at GM on 2nd shift.
Compare that to your yearly wage.
The 150K hourly workers are in the Skilled Trades (Plant and Machinery Maintanence)with a wage of $35 p/hr., that are working Saturdays and Sundays and are making that wage double and triple that on those weekend days.
The Assembly workers at the Chrysler plant in Belvedere, IL are making over $ 26.00 per hour now.
Financial Institution and Corporate Heads need to quit taking the 7 to 9 figure Bonuses. How can anyone justify that kind of bonus when their company is losing money.
In 1963 my father started at the Janesville plant making $ 3.63 per hour. after his proby period he bought a 1963 Corvette.
I do not recall the sticker price. I think they were around $ 6,500.00 back then.
Anyways, my point is look at what my bro makes and the cost of a new Corvette.
The cost of living has risen at a higher percentage rate than people's salaries, it doesn't matter what your profession is.
If we could figure what the CEO of GM was making in 1963 compared to today, we would all be shocked at how the gap between the salary of a Top Person of a Corporation and the salary of "low guy" Joe has become greater by what some would consider extreme.
If I remember correctly from one of my business management classes from long ago, the CEO made approximately 300 times more than the lowest paid worker in the same company.
Today, using the estimate $ 130 million dollar salary for a CEO (and this is low, I have seen upwards of $ 300,000,000 with all options considered), and my sister-in-law's wage. The CEO makes 2,746.04 times more than my brother's wife.
So don't start hating on Union workers. You can hate on the Union Organizations Heads all you want.
Times have changed since my Grandfather was an original "Sit Downer" at the Janesville GM Plant.
The Unions pushed for what all of us share now days. Paid Vacations, 40 Hour work week, and safety improvements, and for hourly personnel, job security. But like any big organization there is politics and greed ot the top that pollutes the original cause and mode of operations of that organization.
If someone is not working, how are they going to buy your product to keep you employed?
If you price something out of the average person's range, how are you going to sell your product to keep you employed?
Sorry for the soap box, but to lay blame on the blue collar workers of companies is just plain stupid.
Teddy Roosevelt bailed out banks in the 1920's, and what happened?
The exact same thing that is happening now. Funds being use improperly by the Corporate Leaders.
What was the outcome?
The Great Depression.
ESPCamaro
QUOTE (T.O.Dillinder @ Dec 12 2008, 11:03 PM) *
My brother is making $ 17.50 per hour ($ 36,400 gross per year)at Lear Seating
His wife was making $ 22.76 per hour ($ 47,340.80 gross per year) working on the assembly line at GM on 2nd shift.
Compare that to your yearly wage.
The 150K hourly workers are in the Skilled Trades (Plant and Machinery Maintanence)with a wage of $35 p/hr., that are working Saturdays and Sundays and are making that wage double and triple that on those weekend days.
The Assembly workers at the Chrysler plant in Belvedere, IL are making over $ 26.00 per hour now.
Financial Institution and Corporate Heads need to quit taking the 7 to 9 figure Bonuses. How can anyone justify that kind of bonus when their company is losing money.
In 1963 my father started at the Janesville plant making $ 3.63 per hour. after his proby period he bought a 1963 Corvette.
I do not recall the sticker price. I think they were around $ 6,500.00 back then.
Anyways, my point is look at what my bro makes and the cost of a new Corvette.
The cost of living has risen at a higher percentage rate than people's salaries, it doesn't matter what your profession is.
If we could figure what the CEO of GM was making in 1963 compared to today, we would all be shocked at how the gap between the salary of a Top Person of a Corporation and the salary of "low guy" Joe has become greater by what some would consider extreme.
If I remember correctly from one of my business management classes from long ago, the CEO made approximately 300 times more than the lowest paid worker in the same company.
Today, using the estimate $ 130 million dollar salary for a CEO (and this is low, I have seen upwards of $ 300,000,000 with all options considered), and my sister-in-law's wage. The CEO makes 2,746.04 times more than my brother's wife.
So don't start hating on Union workers. You can hate on the Union Organizations Heads all you want.
Times have changed since my Grandfather was an original "Sit Downer" at the Janesville GM Plant.
The Unions pushed for what all of us share now days. Paid Vacations, 40 Hour work week, and safety improvements, and for hourly personnel, job security. But like any big organization there is politics and greed ot the top that pollutes the original cause and mode of operations of that organization.
If someone is not working, how are they going to buy your product to keep you employed?
If you price something out of the average person's range, how are you going to sell your product to keep you employed?
Sorry for the soap box, but to lay blame on the blue collar workers of companies is just plain stupid.
Teddy Roosevelt bailed out banks in the 1920's, and what happened?
The exact same thing that is happening now. Funds being use improperly by the Corporate Leaders.
What was the outcome?
The Great Depression.



I wasn't laying blame on the blue collar worker........GM has had a long history of paying out big bonuses to white collar position holders, and/or refusing to cut white collars....As I understand it.

I'm simply pointing out that if it costs company X 1 and 3/4 to make something as company Y, company X is at a disadvantage........


I do find it interesting that saving a million jobs comes with such reservation for law makers, yet they just rushed right into giving money away to AIG etc.


Again I'm not entirely against unions. They would have protected my job. Pay was similar or better than what you quoted, but guess what. I'm out of a job. Union workers aren't (yet). And I put more than just time in, but time giving-----yeah I'll just not get into it.
T.O.Dillinder
QUOTE (ESPCamaro @ Dec 12 2008, 10:48 PM) *
I wasn't laying blame on the blue collar worker........GM has had a long history of paying out big bonuses to white collar position holders, and/or refusing to cut white collars....As I understand it.

I'm simply pointing out that if it costs company X 1 and 3/4 to make something as company Y, company X is at a disadvantage........


I do find it interesting that saving a million jobs comes with such reservation for law makers, yet they just rushed right into giving money away to AIG etc.


Again I'm not entirely against unions. They would have protected my job. Pay was similar or better than what you quoted, but guess what. I'm out of a job. Union workers aren't (yet). And I put more than just time in, but time giving-----yeah I'll just not get into it.


Do not take it personal, because I was not taking any shots at you, or anyone else on here, just the politicians. I am just upset at the "bone-headed" things they ALL are doing.
I am also upset that there are people who do not take responsibility for their desicions (AIG, GM, Ford, etc, etc.), and are asking the government to save their behinds.
I smell communism on the horizon. Communism did not work either, ask Russia.
Free Trade of GOODS would work if the other country's citizens would buy our products. But they do not.
It is late and it is this economic situation that has me upset. With my sibling and his family about to lose everything they have worked to get.
I have a secure job, doesn't pay well enough for me to go wheel to wheel racing at all, hence starting the parts business in hopes to subliment my income.
My health has improved a lot, but I have been stuck at the 280 lbs. I am at.
Personally I am all right, just won't be able to do the thing I have wanted to do since I grabbed a wrench at 3 years old.
I hope I can find a Camaro or Trans-Am come Mid March so I can play a little bit on track days.
Anyways thanks for letting me vent some.
PeteL
QUOTE (T.O.Dillinder @ Dec 13 2008, 01:18 AM) *
Free Trade of GOODS would work if the other country's citizens would buy our products. But they do not.


But they do buy our goods to the tune of 1.148 trillion $ in 2007. We are number three in terms of value of exports behind Germany ($1.3 trillion) and China($1.2 trillion). Suprisingly, we are ahead of Japan ($0.7 trillion). That's why protectionist arguments make no sense, it's cutting off your nose to spite your face. You ban their goods and they ban yours and everybody loses. There are plenty of economists who believe that Hawley-Smoot Tariff was an important co-contributer to the cause of the depression.
NJSPEEDER
This is part of the problem with electing people without making sure they are qualified to do .....welll.....anything actually.

Anyone with common sense and a calculator can see what is about to happen all because they decided to be a bunch of hard asses. Where was all of this stand up and do it yourself rhetoric when they were writing blank checks to the finance companies? I guess those white collars are more important than the 50 times as many blue collars that are at risk now.
Rob Hood
Here's a (lengthy) article on GM and their bankruptcy status - http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=206...id=ai5KpbywxqiQ
pknowles
QUOTE (nape @ Dec 12 2008, 10:55 PM) *
QUOTE (pknowles @ Dec 12 2008, 03:13 PM) *
I'm surprised the GM investors aren't fed up and file Chapter 7. Between heavy government regulations and extortion like behavior by the UAW, I can't believe they didn't liquidate and run years ago.


Remember this within the next 30 years when Toyota finally has a lot of workers who are old enough to start collecting a pension. Are you going to be telling them to do the same thing because... the vicious employees negotiated too much for retirement benefits? They just admitted that their labor costs about the same, the majority of the difference is the amount of people collecting.


Pensions are good. They help add stability to your work force, keeping your experienced people in the company to help train the newcomers. However, the pensions should be secured with some sort of bonds (in full or part), not secured by future sales or profits. This is the problem GM is facing.

My true beef with the UAW is the strike last year, that was the definition of extortion in my mind.
StanIROCZ
QUOTE (PeteL @ Dec 13 2008, 12:37 PM) *
QUOTE (T.O.Dillinder @ Dec 13 2008, 01:18 AM) *
Free Trade of GOODS would work if the other country's citizens would buy our products. But they do not.


But they do buy our goods to the tune of 1.148 trillion $ in 2007. We are number three in terms of value of exports behind Germany ($1.3 trillion) and China($1.2 trillion). Suprisingly, we are ahead of Japan ($0.7 trillion).

I'm not challenging but more asking because I don't understand. If that is true why do we have a trade deficit and why has the dollar become so weak?
BigEnos
QUOTE (StanIROCZ @ Dec 14 2008, 08:12 AM) *
QUOTE (PeteL @ Dec 13 2008, 12:37 PM) *
QUOTE (T.O.Dillinder @ Dec 13 2008, 01:18 AM) *
Free Trade of GOODS would work if the other country's citizens would buy our products. But they do not.


But they do buy our goods to the tune of 1.148 trillion $ in 2007. We are number three in terms of value of exports behind Germany ($1.3 trillion) and China($1.2 trillion). Suprisingly, we are ahead of Japan ($0.7 trillion).

I'm not challenging but more asking because I don't understand. If that is true why do we have a trade deficit and why has the dollar become so weak?


I can't say why the dollar is weak, but even though we export 1.148 trillion$, we import 1.968 trillion$. That's a trade deficit.

For a bunch more info check out

CIA World Factbook
PeteL
QUOTE (StanIROCZ @ Dec 14 2008, 08:12 AM) *
QUOTE (PeteL @ Dec 13 2008, 12:37 PM) *
QUOTE (T.O.Dillinder @ Dec 13 2008, 01:18 AM) *
Free Trade of GOODS would work if the other country's citizens would buy our products. But they do not.


But they do buy our goods to the tune of 1.148 trillion $ in 2007. We are number three in terms of value of exports behind Germany ($1.3 trillion) and China($1.2 trillion). Suprisingly, we are ahead of Japan ($0.7 trillion).

I'm not challenging but more asking because I don't understand. If that is true why do we have a trade deficit and why has the dollar become so weak?


The way to fix a trade deficit is to become more productive at making the things that you now import. Productivity is simply the value of the goods produced relative to what it cost to make them. High productivity is what makes a nation wealthy.

In the absence of trade barriers, a nation exports what it is most productive at making and it imports what it sucks at making. If you enact trade barriers. Then you will move the nation's production from what it's best at making to what it doesn't make as efficiently. Consequently the nation as a whole losses productivity and is worse off than before.

The unions and managment of the big 3 have to decide to become more productive... period. So the union has to drop the ridiculous and unproductive work rules and the managers have to stop sucking the lifeblood of the company away in the form of outrageous bonuses, perks and stock options.

A bailout will simply encourage they same unproductive behaviour that has been going on since the last bailout. Remember we have been down this road before...and now instead of just one company with it's hand out...there are three.

Why the dollar is weak, in my opinion has to do with another deficit...but I've given up hope of our government every becoming fiscally responsible.
mitchntx
QUOTE (trackbird @ Dec 12 2008, 01:26 PM) *
many families can't afford to take a 5-25% (I didn't see the exact number) pay cut.


QUOTE (pknowles @ Dec 12 2008, 03:13 PM) *
heavy government regulations and extortion like behavior by the UAW


For some reason people/families today live on the ragged edge. The "need" for a Suburban or Expedition to occasionally take a 5th or 6th kid to soccer practice has some how become a necessitiy. Why can't all 6 scrunch together for the 5 minute commute?

That is merely a single example of hundreds we can all come up with that absolutely proves that as a whole US citizens have become self-absorbed and fiscally irresponsible. We, as a whole, have become glassy-eyed into thinking money derived from a home equity line of credit can be placed in their e-trade account and investing via articles read on Google news is a way to afford seldom used 3rd row seating.

This issue is way deeper than the fault of any union. They just ahppen to be a convenient scape-goat.


QUOTE (T.O.Dillinder @ Dec 12 2008, 10:03 PM) *
My brother is making $ 17.50 per hour ($ 36,400 gross per year)at Lear Seating
His wife was making $ 22.76 per hour ($ 47,340.80 gross per year) working on the assembly line at GM on 2nd shift.
Compare that to your yearly wage.
The 150K hourly workers are in the Skilled Trades (Plant and Machinery Maintanence)with a wage of $35 p/hr., that are working Saturdays and Sundays and are making that wage double and triple that on those weekend days.
The Assembly workers at the Chrysler plant in Belvedere, IL are making over $ 26.00 per hour now.
Financial Institution and Corporate Heads need to quit taking the 7 to 9 figure Bonuses. How can anyone justify that kind of bonus when their company is losing money.
In 1963 my father started at the Janesville plant making $ 3.63 per hour. after his proby period he bought a 1963 Corvette.
I do not recall the sticker price. I think they were around $ 6,500.00 back then.
Anyways, my point is look at what my bro makes and the cost of a new Corvette.
The cost of living has risen at a higher percentage rate than people's salaries, it doesn't matter what your profession is.
If we could figure what the CEO of GM was making in 1963 compared to today, we would all be shocked at how the gap between the salary of a Top Person of a Corporation and the salary of "low guy" Joe has become greater by what some would consider extreme.
If I remember correctly from one of my business management classes from long ago, the CEO made approximately 300 times more than the lowest paid worker in the same company.
Today, using the estimate $ 130 million dollar salary for a CEO (and this is low, I have seen upwards of $ 300,000,000 with all options considered), and my sister-in-law's wage. The CEO makes 2,746.04 times more than my brother's wife.
So don't start hating on Union workers. You can hate on the Union Organizations Heads all you want.
Times have changed since my Grandfather was an original "Sit Downer" at the Janesville GM Plant.
The Unions pushed for what all of us share now days. Paid Vacations, 40 Hour work week, and safety improvements, and for hourly personnel, job security. But like any big organization there is politics and greed ot the top that pollutes the original cause and mode of operations of that organization.
If someone is not working, how are they going to buy your product to keep you employed?
If you price something out of the average person's range, how are you going to sell your product to keep you employed?
Sorry for the soap box, but to lay blame on the blue collar workers of companies is just plain stupid.
Teddy Roosevelt bailed out banks in the 1920's, and what happened?
The exact same thing that is happening now. Funds being use improperly by the Corporate Leaders.
What was the outcome?
The Great Depression.


The History Channel ran a terrific documentary of FDR and then a really interesting comparison to the crash in 29 and subsequent depression to where we are today. It was just uncanny the similarities between '29 and today.

Hoover was president and Mellon was the Treasury Secretary. After the crash, Hoover decided to stand pat and "to let the market correct itself" and Mellon was adamant that banking deregulation was the way for a capitalist society to flourish. FDR was elected in 1932 on a "New Deal" campaign where the nations infrastructure would be bolstered to ready the country to move forward.

Now, replace Reagan, Clinton and Bush for Hoover, Greenspan for Mellon and Obama and "Change" for FDR. Spooky, eh?

FDR's new deal got people back to work, but the banking industry, market and economy didn't rebound till 1943 when US industry was in over-drive to support the european and asian war efforts.

Execs in today's world are really no different than the soccer family described above. While the monies discussed are quite different, the principles are identical to the blue collar workers. There is plenty of blame to be spread around.
jeffburch
I would like to see a tariff similar to what was on big (701cc up) motorcycles in 1984 on imports (crap).
Look at Harley Davidson now.

Put Americans to work building American products.

God Bless our Unions

jb
IBEW 69
pknowles
QUOTE (mitchntx @ Dec 14 2008, 07:12 PM) *
The History Channel ran a terrific documentary of FDR and then a really interesting comparison to the crash in 29 and subsequent depression to where we are today. It was just uncanny the similarities between '29 and today.

Hoover was president and Mellon was the Treasury Secretary. After the crash, Hoover decided to stand pat and "to let the market correct itself" and Mellon was adamant that banking deregulation was the way for a capitalist society to flourish. FDR was elected in 1932 on a "New Deal" campaign where the nations infrastructure would be bolstered to ready the country to move forward.

Now, replace Reagan, Clinton and Bush for Hoover, Greenspan for Mellon and Obama and "Change" for FDR. Spooky, eh?

FDR's new deal got people back to work, but the banking industry, market and economy didn't rebound till 1943 when US industry was in over-drive to support the european and asian war efforts.

Execs in today's world are really no different than the soccer family described above. While the monies discussed are quite different, the principles are identical to the blue collar workers. There is plenty of blame to be spread around.

An excellent book on the topic is "The Forgotten Man" by Amity Shales. This book was released before our stock market crash and looks at how Government policy in the great depression may have actually lengthened the depression. The similarities in the players are scary and the policy doesn't seem that different from today, ironically enough.

I've also been reading up on the Weimar republic, which was basically Germany before Hitler's party came to power. These are the people that had out of control inflation and you see pictures of in textbooks bringing wheel barrels full on money to by bread or burning the money to keep warm because it was worth almost nothing. It seems like some of the worst dictatorships in history come just after a financial crisis. Before I started researching the matter I had no idea that Hitler came to power so fast (less then 3 years). It's crazy what people do in a crisis to "save the republic". I'm not saying that anyone we have is anything like Hitler, but losing our republic is a possibility that we need to be aware of and happens slowly with seemingly good intentions. Crazy scary stuff. I personally don't think we are near that point, but I think it's good to understand how countries get to that point.
mitchntx
QUOTE (jeffburch @ Dec 14 2008, 09:03 PM) *
I would like to see a tariff similar to what was on big (701cc up) motorcycles in 1984 on imports (crap).
Look at Harley Davidson now.

Put Americans to work building American products.

God Bless our Unions

jb
IBEW 69



JB ... I honestly don't think any increase in taxation is the way out. Taxing a company's products just means that over head cost is passed along to the consumer. Taxing big business in effect, really doesn't affect big business.

JMHO ...

The tariff on bikes in the 80s was a little different than now. There were no foreign bike assembly plants. The vast majority of cars sold in the US are actually assembled here by US workers. And if discussing profits, publicly traded companies means that everyone, US citizen or not, can get a piece of that pie. But, bottom line, if Toyota wants to continue to employe 50,000 US citizens at it's San Antonio assembly plant, then that is 50,000 people bringing home a pay check.

I respect your opinion and the others in this group about unions. Unions have brought about great change in the way we work. However, the potential for abuse is quite extraordinary. So, my opinion on unionized labor is mixed ... in theory, I think it's a great thing ... in application, it sometimes gets too political and out of control.
jeffburch
Re: Texas Toyotas, Yeah, but they're assembled with something like 85% imported parts.
What about the sub plants that make those parts and sub assembies?
Also, the money on the sale goes offshore.

jb
mitchntx
Interesting reading ...

QUOTE
Heavy Load
For Toyota, a New Small Truck
Carries Hopes for Topping GM

Targeted at Emerging Markets,
Hilux Takes Risk on Quality:
It Bypasses Japanese Plants
Lessons of a Financial Crisis
By NORIHIKO SHIROUZU and JATHON SAPSFORD
Staff Reporters of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
May 12, 2005; Page A1

BUENOS AIRES -- Martinic Drasko wants 50 new pickup trucks to lease to oil companies that operate in Argentina's hinterlands. But he doesn't want just any truck.

Mr. Drasko says he has tried Ford Ranger and Chevy S10 pickups and a Brazilian-built Nissan truck, but no vehicle has proved more reliable than Toyota Motor Corp.'s Hilux model. "If you break down in remote oil fields, and it's winter, you're cooked," he says.

Now, Toyota is banking on a new version of this sturdy workhorse and a couple of related models it will sell mostly in the developing world as a key part of its strategy to overtake General Motors Corp. as the world's No. 1 car maker. The retooled pickup is Toyota's 21st-century answer to the Ford Model T, a vehicle for the masses that is versatile, inexpensive and highly reliable.

But Toyota is also taking a big gamble on its reputation for quality with its new emerging-market strategy: It's dumping its high-cost plants in Japan as a source of critical components.

For years, Toyota has followed a widely successful formula. It assembled cars in and near local markets, providing jobs and making the products less foreign. But the company produced those cars with engines, transmissions and other key components brought in from the company's world-beating Japanese factories.


That emerging-market business model fell apart during the currency crisis that struck Southeast Asia in the late 1990s. Suddenly, Japanese-made components were prohibitively expensive for buyers using devalued Asian currencies.

So Toyota devised a new approach. It is building the new Hilux and related models in developing countries using parts made almost entirely in factories strategically located to take advantage of regional free-trade zones and cheap labor.

With the new strategy, the company hopes to boost its sales numbers while damping the risks that foreign-currency conversions will eat up all of its profits. But the big question is whether Toyota can keep quality to its lofty standards even as it moves to build more of its cars almost bumper to bumper outside Japan.

Toyota executives say they know achieving a high level of quality is a must if the IMV project is to succeed. Decades of experience Toyota's manufacturing division has in producing vehicles outside Japan "have given us confidence to say we can proceed with the project, even though it almost completely bypasses Japan," says Yoshi Inaba, the Toyota senior managing director in charge of operations in North and South America, Oceania, Asia and the Middle East.

The new Hilux truck, the first of a wave of vehicles built on a single, low-cost vehicle platform known inside Toyota as "IMV," shorthand for "innovative international multipurpose vehicle," hit the marketplace in Thailand last August.

If the strategy succeeds as planned, the Hilux and its related vehicles -- a sport-utility vehicle and a minivan -- will be a crucial part of Toyota's ambitious push to grab a 15% slice of the global auto market by 2010. It had a 12% share at the end of 2004, according to CSM Worldwide, a research firm in Farmington Hills, Mich. Toyota expects the new family of emerging-market vehicles to sell an additional 500,000 vehicles over the old Hilux line, which has consistently sold about 250,000 vehicles a year. The sales jump would make up about a third of the 1.6 million additional vehicles the company needs to sell annually if it is to overtake GM for the top spot. Toyota has no plans to sell the Hilux pickup and its related vehicles in the U.S.

This week, Toyota parked three IMV models outside the hotel ballroom where the company disclosed its latest annual sales and profits. Inside, Toyota President Fujio Cho said the new line was the main reason Toyota's sales in developing markets from Asia to Africa jumped by 362,000 cars, more than the combined increase in sales for developed markets of Japan, Europe and North America.

Toyota's overall sales reached 7.4 million cars, a record. Yet the growth came at a cost. Earnings for the year ended March 31 edged up 0.8% to a record $11.09 billion. But in the final quarter, profits slumped 17% from a year earlier to $2.76 billion in part because of heavy investment in plant and development, including that for the new vehicles.

Big Western and Japanese auto makers have long sold cars and trucks in less affluent, developing countries. But few auto makers have tried a project as ambitious as Toyota's IMV strategy. Toyota wouldn't say how much it spent to develop the new platform and the three basic models based on it, but the company said it sank at least $1.4 billion so far into updating or building plants in Argentina, India, Indonesia, Thailand and South Africa, among other countries, for the project.

The IMV architecture, a basic vehicle building block known in the industry as a chassis, is designed to support a family of rugged vehicles. The vehicles, including the Innova minivan and the Fortuner SUV in addition to the Hilux, will be marketed in 140 emerging-market countries.

By using low-wage factories to make major components, Toyota can offer the new trucks at prices well below the norm in markets like the U.S. The base price for a Hilux pickup is $9,900 in Thailand, for example. In the U.S., a Toyota Tacoma compact pickup -- essentially the same size as a Hilux -- starts at $13,415.

Rivals are skeptical of what GM spokesman Patrick Morrissey calls a "one size fits all" approach to emerging markets. "You can't sell the same car in different markets," says Nissan Motor Co. Chief Executive Carlos Ghosn. "You always have to tune it."

GM uses its global brands and alliance partners to come up with a different portfolio of products for different emerging markets. Ford Motor Co., on the other hand, tries to tap shared technology and vehicle architectures to approach the emerging world. In Asia, for instance, Ford is rolling out a version of the Ford Focus that has been tweaked to Asian tastes but shares basic technology and architecture with the namesake car originally developed for Europe.

Toyota says its IMV-based vehicles are fine-tuned for subtle differences in local markets. Officials also stress that the new models aren't Toyota's only emerging-market offerings. It also sells an affordable entry-level car tailored to various major emerging markets as well as its big-selling global sedans, the Corolla and the Camry.

Behind the emerging-market strategy is a significant shift in the way Toyota operates around the world. Toyota's top brass often touts the "internationalization" of the company, but the car maker has long relied heavily on building engines and other crucial components in Japan. Workers at the company's traditional factories there have long experience with Toyota's brand of highly-efficient "lean" production. One reason the company was reluctant to move such operations off shore was concern about quality.

But in 1997, when the Asian economic crisis triggered a recession in many of Toyota's key developing markets, the company was forced to reassess its strategy. At Toyota manufacturing operations in Thailand and Indonesia, the devastating slide of the local currencies against the yen pushed up the cost of importing Japanese-made components by 80% or more. Those prices made the company's cars just about unsellable in some markets.

Toyota executives also realized that the company's internal system of pricing and discounting made it impossible for them to determine accurately whether the company was making or losing money on each car produced in the Asian region.

Toyota bosses decided the company's developing-market strategy needed a fundamental overhaul, starting with the Hilux trucks.

Toyota's traditional approach to cost-cutting is kaizen, continuous effort on the shop floor to systematize work processes and make them more efficient. But kaizen often yields only incremental savings over time. The approach wasn't adequate to deliver the deep cuts the Asian financial crisis called for, says Kaoru Hosokawa, the executive chief engineer of the team that developed the IMV vehicle architecture and the three models based on it. Mr. Hosokawa says he set out to slash the cost to manufacture each vehicle, including parts procurement and logistics costs, by as much as 30% to make the project viable.

Mr. Hosokawa and other top strategists devised a new plan that completely bypasses Japan as a source of quality but high-cost parts. Toyota located new factories to take advantage of some of the liberal free-trade agreements in different regions, from South America, to Africa, to Southeast Asia.

Gasoline engines for the IMV vehicles, for example, are being made in Indonesia and shipped to assembly plants in Thailand, South Africa and Argentina, among other countries. Diesel engines are being made at a plant in Thailand. Manual transmissions are being shipped around the world from plants in India and the Philippines.

Toyota has set up a war room for IMV production at its office in Bangkok. On the wall is a long line of coded numbers, each representing a component, from wipers to heat sensors to nuts and bolts. Red lines fan out from each component to its subcomponents, which in turn have more red lines going out to further subcomponents. In some cases, the components are traced back to 12 levels of suppliers.

It was drudgery to map out those supply chains. But once they did, Toyota executives discovered all kinds of areas where subcomponents were going back and forth between suppliers, needlessly raising costs. "We found a lot of waste to cut before we even got started," says Akira Okabe, a Toyota managing officer in charge of Asian operations.

In the end, Mr. Hosokawa, the chief engineer, says Toyota was able to reduce the cost to manufacture the vehicles based on the IMV platform by 20% to 25%, compared with old Hilux trucks they replaced. The savings allowed the Japanese auto maker to price those vehicles affordably in the developing world and still make a profit.

Toyota's new strategy has some potential weaknesses. For example, a port strike in India, one of the two sources of manual transmissions, could paralyze Hilux production around the world. Supply lines could also be disrupted by a natural disaster -- another tsunami or earthquake -- or political unrest. Another round of currency upheaval in the region, or changes in tax policies on parts moved across borders could undermine Toyota's strategy.

As insurance, Toyota has created "backup capacity" in Japan and Thailand for each major component and ordered each factory producing the Hilux and its family of vehicles to stock roughly a two-week supply of engines, transmissions and other key components to prepare for an unforeseen disruption in parts production and cross-border shipments. That is a departure from Toyota's traditional ideal, which is to run with very little inventory stored in warehouses.

Through the project, Toyota is also learning that selling vehicles to customers in less developed economies isn't what it used to be. Years ago, auto makers could get away with selling old technology vehicles to relatively isolated Third World customers.

That no longer works, says Mr. Inaba, the Toyota senior managing director. Thanks to the Internet, car makers can't keep consumers in the dark as to what kind of cars they sell in different markets around the world.

At a dealership in Buenos Aires, some customers showed up well before Toyota said anything about its plans for a launch of the redesigned Hilux, waving pictures of the new Toyota model that had already been unveiled in Thailand. They demanded to know when they could get their hands on the new truck, says Mariano Fernandez, vice president of the dealership who manages its day-to-day operations.

Now, Toyota is trying to offer as much up-to-date technology as possible with the new vehicles. The new Hilux, for instance, offers more powerful engines -- including two types of four-cylinder, 16-valve direct-injection turbo diesel engines -- as well as front- and four-wheel-drive versions and either one or two rows of seats. Some versions of the truck also offer antilock brakes and front airbags, although low-end models still come without those features in order to keep them more affordable. "No car maker can get away with the old trick and deprive emerging markets of the latest technology," Toyota's Mr. Inaba says.

So far, sales of the new Hilux and its sister vehicles are brisk. In Thailand, a market Toyota bets will become its biggest for IMV-based vehicles, customers bought a total of 112,300 new Hiluxes in the first eight months after the pickup's launch, compared with the 76,200 sold during the same period a year earlier.

In Argentina, where the economy is showing signs of recovery after a devastating economic crisis in 2002, Mr. Fernandez, the Buenos Aires dealer, believes the new Hilux truck will allow him to expand his sales by 40% this year to 1,400 vehicles. He says that would put his business solidly back in precrisis profitability.

Mr. Fernandez expresses frustration that Toyota isn't making more trucks to meet demand. Toyota's "really conservative," he barked at a Toyota sales representative, Gustavo Salinas, in his showroom one recent day. All Toyota needs to sell more is to open up the taps at the factory: "You just have to produce more," he said.

Write to Norihiko Shirouzu at norihiko.shirouzu@wsj.com1 and Jathon Sapsford at jathon.sapsford@wsj.com2

URL for this article:
http://online.wsj.com/article/0,,SB1...330907,00.html


Can't argue with you Jeff other than within that article it does elude to an import tax which prompted manufacturers like Toyota to begin assembling their products, which are normally sold in the US market.

Your questions, though, prompted even more questions.

Remaining on the vehicle theme ...The realist in me tends to wonder what a vehicle would cost if it were completely built inside the US borders AND it did so at a price which didn't require US government intervention in order to remain solvent.

I see this as a viscious cycle that continues in a do loop till something gives.

Workers demand wage increases to maintain the life to which they've become accustomed.
Manufacturers pay the wage and benefit increase to maintain production and pass along the wage increase as the "cost of doing business".
Consumers/workers purchase said products, but it takes a bigger chunk out of their budget. So a wage increase is necessary.

So who is supposed give in? A bazillion workers conceding a dollar each or a handfull of companies yielding a bazillion dollars?

I don't know the answer and don't pretend to be smart enough to figure out all the differnet angles. But I try and be informed and learn as much as I can.
BigEnos
QUOTE (mitchntx @ Dec 15 2008, 02:17 PM) *
I see this as a viscious cycle that continues in a do loop till something gives.

Workers demand wage increases to maintain the life to which they've become accustomed.
Manufacturers pay the wage and benefit increase to maintain production and pass along the wage increase as the "cost of doing business".
Consumers/workers purchase said products, but it takes a bigger chunk out of their budget. So a wage increase is necessary.

So who is supposed give in? A bazillion workers conceding a dollar each or a handfull of companies yielding a bazillion dollars?

I don't know the answer and don't pretend to be smart enough to figure out all the differnet angles. But I try and be informed and learn as much as I can.


You forgot the part about ambition, wanting to give your kids a better life, the seemingly relentless march to buy what currently constitutes a "good life", etc. It's difficult to boil down, and I don't know the answer either. Unlike most people I went to college with, I found economics fascinating. I wish I'd taken more classes in it.
mitchntx
QUOTE (BigEnos @ Dec 15 2008, 03:11 PM) *
You forgot the part about ambition, wanting to give your kids a better life, the seemingly relentless march to buy what currently constitutes a "good life", etc. It's difficult to boil down, and I don't know the answer either. Unlike most people I went to college with, I found economics fascinating. I wish I'd taken more classes in it.


Again ... JMHO ...

Every parent wants more for their children than they had as a kid, a better life, a better education, better amenities ... Nothing at all wrong with that ambition.

But one's personal ambition vs abilities is based upon their personal means, right?

Just because I graduated a JuCo and live in a 1500 sq/ft house with 2 cars doesn't mean I should expect my employer to pay me enough to send 2 kids to Harvard, put them up in a 1750 sq/ft house each and both add an RV to their driveway does it?

I know that's a rather silly extrapolation, but the point I feel as though my ambition is mine. It's not incumbent upon some one else or something else to make that possible. It's up to me. If I can't, does that make me a failure?
FBody383
QUOTE (BigEnos)
You forgot the part about ambition, wanting to give your kids a better life, the seemingly relentless march to buy what currently constitutes a "good life", etc. It's difficult to boil down, and I don't know the answer either.
Sure you do, individual responsibility - the American Dream. Manifest destiny in the sense of seeking to improve upon one's condition, though not at the expense of others. The "good life" is accepting that there is enough. That there are some less fortunate than yourself and that character and integrity matter.


QUOTE (BigEnos)
Unlike most people I went to college with, I found economics fascinating. I wish I'd taken more classes in it.
I still believe that anybody that wants a college degree in this country can get one. It may not be at the school of their choice and may take longer than you want, but it is achievable. And we are certainly free to pick up a class at the local JuCo every now and then whether it's Macro Economics or Intro to MIG Welding.
BigEnos
QUOTE (mitchntx @ Dec 15 2008, 04:40 PM) *
QUOTE (BigEnos @ Dec 15 2008, 03:11 PM) *
You forgot the part about ambition, wanting to give your kids a better life, the seemingly relentless march to buy what currently constitutes a "good life", etc. It's difficult to boil down, and I don't know the answer either. Unlike most people I went to college with, I found economics fascinating. I wish I'd taken more classes in it.


Again ... JMHO ...

Every parent wants more for their children than they had as a kid, a better life, a better education, better amenities ... Nothing at all wrong with that ambition.

But one's personal ambition vs abilities is based upon their personal means, right?

Just because I graduated a JuCo and live in a 1500 sq/ft house with 2 cars doesn't mean I should expect my employer to pay me enough to send 2 kids to Harvard, put them up in a 1750 sq/ft house each and both add an RV to their driveway does it?

I know that's a rather silly extrapolation, but the point I feel as though my ambition is mine. It's not incumbent upon some one else or something else to make that possible. It's up to me. If I can't, does that make me a failure?


What I meant was, all those things are more factors that apply wage increase pressure. That's the only point I was trying to make. Certainly was not a judgement.

To me, more people than ever feel like a life of luxury is attainable. The best cars, the best "stuff", and the best of everything for your kids. I am guilty of it.

The pressure to spend in our society is strong and can be difficult to resist. Much of one's status is viewed by the stuff you have. The car you drive, the phone you carry, and even the vehicle you tow to events with. ph34r.gif
mitchntx
QUOTE (BigEnos @ Dec 15 2008, 08:28 PM) *
What I meant was, all those things are more factors that apply wage increase pressure. That's the only point I was trying to make. Certainly was not a judgement.

To me, more people than ever feel like a life of luxury is attainable. The best cars, the best "stuff", and the best of everything for your kids. I am guilty of it.

The pressure to spend in our society is strong and can be difficult to resist. Much of one's status is viewed by the stuff you have. The car you drive, the phone you carry, and even the vehicle you tow to events with. ph34r.gif


Well said!
pknowles
QUOTE (BigEnos @ Dec 15 2008, 09:28 PM) *
What I meant was, all those things are more factors that apply wage increase pressure. That's the only point I was trying to make. Certainly was not a judgement.

To me, more people than ever feel like a life of luxury is attainable. The best cars, the best "stuff", and the best of everything for your kids. I am guilty of it.

The pressure to spend in our society is strong and can be difficult to resist. Much of one's status is viewed by the stuff you have. The car you drive, the phone you carry, and even the vehicle you tow to events with. ph34r.gif

For all the bad things about the economy, one good thing is a depression will teach us to think like our grandparents. My grandparents that lived through the Great Depression resewed buttons on shirts instead of just buying new, didn't through things away that still had use; they were frugal but not cheap and didn't play the keeping up with the Jones' game at all. If we gain even a little bit of that thinking we will be better off.
cccbock
QUOTE (mitchntx @ Dec 15 2008, 09:30 PM) *
QUOTE (BigEnos @ Dec 15 2008, 08:28 PM) *
What I meant was, all those things are more factors that apply wage increase pressure. That's the only point I was trying to make. Certainly was not a judgement.

To me, more people than ever feel like a life of luxury is attainable. The best cars, the best "stuff", and the best of everything for your kids. I am guilty of it.

The pressure to spend in our society is strong and can be difficult to resist. Much of one's status is viewed by the stuff you have. The car you drive, the phone you carry, and even the vehicle you tow to events with. ph34r.gif


Well said!


Since this seems to be veering slightly off topic....I had to just chuckle at this one.

I wonder what status judgements I engender from the Viper & Vette crowd when I pull up to an event with a 13 year old Fcar on an open trailer being towed by a Honda (of all things) talking on my 4 year old cell phone?

Wonder what they think when I beat most of them?

bock
mitchntx
QUOTE (cccbock @ Dec 16 2008, 06:33 AM) *
Wonder what they think when I beat most of them?

bock


"Damn redneck" ... blink.gif

Phil ... you and I think a lot alike.

Don't get me wrong ... I like my "stuff", but there is a lot of it I could actually survive without.
00 Trans Ram
Hahaha - I get the same reaction. Pull up in the 1984 Chevy C20, with a Trans Am on an all-purpose utility trailer. Then go beat the Vipers and Vettes with 18-wheeler transports. Kinda fun.

As for the issue, I'm not an expert on any of this. In fact, I'm not even learned. If we talk about healthcare specifically, then I can speak with knowledge. But, I have no experience with unions, large manufacturing companies or government assistance of this scale. Therefore, I will reply only in general and to a select few points made above.

First, I don't understand the idea of pensions. I mean, I get what they are - I just don't get why anyone would want one! You are trusting your future finances to someone other than yourself? And, what's more, you're trusting it to a company which you probably gripe about dozens of times per day? Why would the average employee want a pension, which they can't control, versus a 401(k) or other retirement which they can control?

Second of all, no one is going to benefit by this. The workers making $30/hour will not benefit, the execs won't, and the labor bosses won't. everyone will hurt. A point was brought up about if the $30/hr worker were cut to $24/hour, how he would lose his house. That is probably true. But, is that the worse case scenario? If so, it's not that bad. After all, he's still making almost $50k per year. Yes, he may lose the house he is in now. But, he can buy a smaller one. He may have to keep that 2005 Tahoe a few years longer than he originally thought. But, he'll have a house and a car. Again, it's not what we all want, but it's certainly better than standing in a breadline.

As for the unions... I just don't see their place today. When they were formed, they served a very much needed purpose. Companies ran roughshod over their employees. People like the Rockefellers, Vanderbilts, etc. owned huge industries and if you wanted to work, you worked for them at whatever wages and under whatever conditions they told you to. But, the world has changed. America has labor laws now. Companies have to spend an average of 2-3x an employee's salary just to train a new person. That means there is natural incentive to make your employees happy. Heck, the company that I work for was just voted the 2nd Best Place to Work in this region - how many times did Rockefeller win that award back when he ruled the industrial world?

The unions have not defeated Big Business - they have replaced them. If a company refuses to give into a union demand, then the union will go on strike and shut down all production. How is that any different than way-back-when, when a company would fire its workforce because they refused to work 25 hours a day?

For once, I can proudly say that the South has gotten it right. We are attracting large industrial and manufacturing plants at an unprecedented rate, and have very little union presence. When Thyssen-Krupp looked to build one of the largest steel plants in the nation, they looked at LA and AL. Heck, Louisiana (who very recently held the distinction of have zero Fortune 500 companies in-state) makes an announcement almost quarterly about some huge plant of Fortune 500 company relocating here.

Sorry, I seem to have gotten off on a tangent. I don't lay this blame only on unions, and almost none of it on union workers (though they may have the toughest time reacting to the changes coming). GM et al are probably mostly to blame. At some point, they should have told the unions to go screw themselves. You want to strike at our Detroit facility? Fine, we're moving to Arizona. Everyone who wants to come down there feel free.

But, I also think that a lot of this is being made into too big of a deal. The economy is hurting, but this is no recession. During the Great Depression, unemployment was 25%. The official unemployment rate for November 2008 was 6.7%. This is the exact same rate as the European Union, and only .6% above that of China (who, supposedly is doing great)!

People see the stock market sliding. But, does 90% of the country even know what that means? I have yet to find a single person who, in normal conversation, can tell me exactly what the numbers (ie: 8663.61) of the Dow Jones Industrial Average mean! (FYI, it's the activity measured on just 30 companies' stock.) But, when they hear that it's gone down by 500 points, they all run to withdraw their money from banks!!

This economic downturn is a product of a moderate recession, that has been multiplied by consumer ignorance, media hype and investor incompetence (after all, they should know better than to get spooked by some of these numbers).
trackbird
QUOTE (00 Trans Ram @ Dec 16 2008, 01:43 PM) *
First, I don't understand the idea of pensions. I mean, I get what they are - I just don't get why anyone would want one! You are trusting your future finances to someone other than yourself? And, what's more, you're trusting it to a company which you probably gripe about dozens of times per day? Why would the average employee want a pension, which they can't control, versus a 401(k) or other retirement which they can control?



It's not "instead of" in most cases, it's "both". I get a pension at my current job (if I stay that long) and we have a 401k program with company match. When I retire, I can get paid "monthly" or in a "lump sum" to invest and live off of, as well as whatever I stick in my 401k.

And that's why someone would want one... 2thumbs.gif
StanIROCZ
QUOTE (00 Trans Ram @ Dec 16 2008, 01:43 PM) *
People see the stock market sliding. But, does 90% of the country even know what that means?

If you have a 401k and you've checked your account balances at least once in the past year, you know what that means.
TSHACK
QUOTE (StanIROCZ @ Dec 16 2008, 01:37 PM) *
QUOTE (00 Trans Ram @ Dec 16 2008, 01:43 PM) *
People see the stock market sliding. But, does 90% of the country even know what that means?

If you have a 401k and you've checked your account balances at least once in the past year, you know what that means.

I have over a grand drop this year
T.O.Dillinder
Why would the average employee want a pension, which they can't control, versus a 401(k) or other retirement which they can control?

Pensions are a benefit given to an employee for length of service.
Length of service and the amount of a Pension is determined by the Company, unless it is a Unionized shop. In which case, the Union and the Company bargin primarily the amount of the pension.

20 years in the Military, 30 years for a Manufacturing employee are a couple of examples for length of service amounts.

Do you really have control of a 401K?
Correct me if I am wrong, but it is my understanding that a 401(K) is a type of Mutual Fund with those monies being used in the investments in the Stock Market.

A Salaried employee may have a Pension, and the value of the pension stated in his/her contract.

I am just going to say it is the fault of the Federal Reserve, Corporate Magistrates, and Politicians. In other words "THE MAN". nutkick.gif
BigEnos
QUOTE (TSHACK @ Dec 16 2008, 06:23 PM) *
QUOTE (StanIROCZ @ Dec 16 2008, 01:37 PM) *
QUOTE (00 Trans Ram @ Dec 16 2008, 01:43 PM) *
People see the stock market sliding. But, does 90% of the country even know what that means?

If you have a 401k and you've checked your account balances at least once in the past year, you know what that means.

I have over a grand drop this year


Like a grand meaning $1,000.00?
TSHACK
QUOTE (BigEnos @ Dec 16 2008, 07:22 PM) *
QUOTE (TSHACK @ Dec 16 2008, 06:23 PM) *
QUOTE (StanIROCZ @ Dec 16 2008, 01:37 PM) *
QUOTE (00 Trans Ram @ Dec 16 2008, 01:43 PM) *
People see the stock market sliding. But, does 90% of the country even know what that means?

If you have a 401k and you've checked your account balances at least once in the past year, you know what that means.

I have over a grand drop this year


Like a grand meaning $1,000.00?


yup nutkick.gif but it's come back up some drink.gif
BigEnos
QUOTE (TSHACK @ Dec 17 2008, 02:08 AM) *
QUOTE (BigEnos @ Dec 16 2008, 07:22 PM) *
QUOTE (TSHACK @ Dec 16 2008, 06:23 PM) *
QUOTE (StanIROCZ @ Dec 16 2008, 01:37 PM) *
QUOTE (00 Trans Ram @ Dec 16 2008, 01:43 PM) *
People see the stock market sliding. But, does 90% of the country even know what that means?

If you have a 401k and you've checked your account balances at least once in the past year, you know what that means.

I have over a grand drop this year


Like a grand meaning $1,000.00?


yup nutkick.gif but it's come back up some drink.gif


I guess it's all relative to the starting balance. drink.gif
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